Several things of interest this week. First, my numbers have Stanford as not only the best one-loss team in the country (as many real sports analysts are saying) but as the second best team overall! Could you imagine if the BCS rankings reflected mine?? Oh man, the media would have a field day.
Next, I have Auburn winning the SEC title game, but losing to Alabama this weekend (barely). So that means that either TCU or Boise State could sneak into the title game. My rankings say it should be Boise State, and I think after they beat Nevada this weekend (40-28 I predict), I think the BCS rankings will agree with me.
Lastly, Cal is going to win this weekend and become bowl eligible. Considering how many Pac-10 teams won’t become bowl eligible, that means Cal will probably get a pretty good bowl.
Top 25 Schools:
| Rank | Last week | School | Record | Points | OAAD | DAAO | SOS Rank | SOS Pnts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Oregon | 10-0 | 2.3118 | 20.91 | -8.70 | 17 | 0.83 | ||
| 2 | 4 | Stanfurd | 10-1 | 1.8531 | 14.31 | -9.00 | 8 | 0.93 | ||
| 3 | 5 | Boise State | 10-0 | 1.7403 | 19.40 | -14.28 | 68 | 0.60 | ||
| 4 | 2 | Auburn | 11-0 | 1.7400 | 17.02 | -5.15 | 16 | 0.83 | ||
| 5 | 3 | Alabama | 9-2 | 1.6106 | 9.46 | -15.01 | 22 | 0.81 | ||
| 6 | 8 | Arkansas | 9-2 | 1.5361 | 12.79 | -6.69 | 13 | 0.88 | ||
| 7 | 7 | Ohio State | 10-1 | 1.4980 | 12.92 | -12.39 | 58 | 0.65 | ||
| 8 | 6 | TCU | 11-0 | 1.4767 | 12.52 | -14.19 | 71 | 0.58 | ||
| 9 | 10 | S. Carolina | 8-3 | 1.3779 | 8.23 | -10.95 | 11 | 0.90 | ||
| 10 | 9 | Oklahoma State | 10-1 | 1.3283 | 16.03 | -2.67 | 56 | 0.66 | ||
| 11 | 16 | Virginia Tech | 9-2 | 1.2754 | 9.04 | -8.61 | 50 | 0.69 | ||
| 12 | 13 | Nebraska | 9-2 | 1.2477 | 5.90 | -10.22 | 44 | 0.71 | ||
| 13 | 23 | Oklahoma | 9-2 | 1.2275 | 10.76 | -7.77 | 30 | 0.76 | ||
| 14 | 20 | Texas A&M | 8-3 | 1.2135 | 7.09 | -11.14 | 18 | 0.82 | ||
| 15 | 25 | Oregon State | 5-5 | 1.2099 | 3.98 | -4.54 | 7 | 1.02 | ||
| 16 | 17 | Wisconsin | 10-1 | 1.2043 | 12.21 | -5.53 | 53 | 0.67 | ||
| 17 | 18 | Iowa | 7-4 | 1.1530 | 4.11 | -12.92 | 39 | 0.73 | ||
| 18 | 12 | California | 5-6 | 1.1374 | 2.21 | -7.77 | 4 | 1.08 | ||
| 19 | 15 | LSU | 10-1 | 1.1227 | 3.76 | -9.67 | 19 | 0.82 | ||
| 20 | 22 | Missouri | 9-2 | 1.0994 | 4.74 | -12.89 | 27 | 0.78 | ||
| 21 | 11 | USC | 7-4 | 1.0902 | 5.92 | -0.44 | 5 | 1.08 | ||
| 22 | 28 | Florida | 7-4 | 1.0775 | 8.65 | -8.33 | 21 | 0.81 | ||
| 23 | 19 | Arizona State | 4-6 | 1.0664 | 4.14 | -7.63 | 6 | 1.07 | ||
| 24 | 24 | Nevada | 10-1 | 1.0540 | 14.09 | -2.14 | 87 | 0.48 | ||
| 25 | 14 | Arizona | 7-3 | 1.0515 | 3.45 | -7.56 | 10 | 0.90 |
Dropped from rankings: Miami (FL)
Pac-10:
| Rank | Overall | Last week | School | Record | Points | OAAD | DAAO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | Oregon | 10-0 (7-0) | 2.3118 | 20.91 | -8.70 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | Stanfurd | 10-1 (7-1) | 1.8531 | 14.31 | -9.00 | |
| 3 | 15 | 25 | Oregon State | 5-5 (4-3) | 1.2099 | 3.98 | -4.54 | |
| 4 | 18 | 12 | California | 5-6 (3-5) | 1.1374 | 2.21 | -7.77 | |
| 5 | 21 | 11 | USC | 7-4 (4-4) | 1.0902 | 5.92 | -0.44 | |
| 6 | 23 | 19 | Arizona State | 4-6 (2-5) | 1.0664 | 4.14 | -7.63 | |
| 7 | 25 | 14 | Arizona | 7-3 (4-3) | 1.0515 | 3.45 | -7.56 | |
| 8 | 42 | 39 | Washington St | 2-9 (1-7) | 0.7450 | -4.56 | 2.60 | |
| 9 | 44 | 50 | Washington | 4-6 (3-4) | 0.7034 | -0.52 | 2.52 | |
| 10 | 50 | 43 | UCLA | 4-6 (2-5) | 0.6698 | -7.33 | -1.79 |
Top 24 Conferences (FBS and FCS*):
| Rank | Last week | Conference | Avg points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pacific-10 | 1.1838 |
| 2 | 2 | SEC | 1.0764 |
| 3 | 3 | Big 12 | 0.8856 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Ten | 0.8148 |
| 5 | 5 | ACC | 0.7444 |
| 6 | 7 | WAC | 0.6533 |
| 7 | 6 | Mountain West | 0.6260 |
| 8 | 8 | Big East | 0.5302 |
| 9 | 9 | Conference USA | 0.3698 |
| 10 | 10 | CAA* | 0.3409 |
| 11 | 11 | MAC | 0.2998 |
| 12 | 12 | Sun Belt | 0.2580 |
| 13 | 13 | Missouri Valley* | 0.2436 |
| 14 | 14 | Big Sky* | 0.2077 |
| 15 | 16 | Great West* | 0.1963 |
| 16 | 15 | Southern* | 0.1952 |
| 17 | 17 | Ohio Valley* | 0.1347 |
| 18 | 18 | Southland* | 0.1344 |
| 19 | 19 | Big South* | 0.1123 |
| 20 | 21 | Ivy* | 0.0952 |
| 21 | 20 | Northeast* | 0.0942 |
| 22 | 23 | SWAC* | 0.0868 |
| 23 | 22 | Patriot League* | 0.0868 |
| 24 | 24 | Pioneer* | 0.0603 |
| 25 | 25 | MEAC* | 0.0526 |
Pac-10 predicted finish:
| Rank | School | Conf. Record | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oregon | 9-0 | 12-0 |
| 2 | Stanfurd | 8-1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | USC | 5-4 | 8-4 |
| 4 | Arizona | 5-4 | 8-4 |
| 5 | California | 4-5 | 6-6 |
| 6 | Washington | 4-5 | 5-7 |
| 7 | Oregon State | 4-5 | 5-7 |
| 8 | Arizona State | 3-6 | 5-7 |
| 9 | UCLA | 2-7 | 4-8 |
| 10 | Washington St | 1-8 | 2-10 |
This weeks predictions:
- @Arizona State 31 – UCLA 10
- @Oregon 41 – Arizona 18
- @California 33 – Washington 15
- @Stanfurd 38 – Oregon State 21
- Notre Dame 26 – @USC 25
Bowl Projections
- BCS National Championship: Oregon v. Boise State
- Rose Bowl: Stanfurd v. Ohio State
- Valero Alamo Bowl: Arizona v. Oklahoma
- Bridgepoint Education Holiday Bowl: Cal v. Missouri
- Hyundai Sun Bowl: No Pac-10 team available
- MAACO Las Vegas Bowl: No Pac-10 team available
- Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl: No Pac-10 team available